Active Weather Times Ahead

Good afternoon folks!  The cold and dry weather pattern that we had last week is gone.  It has been replaced by a warmer and more active pattern more typical of Spring.  In addition to the storms this week across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes regions, after we cool down a bit on Friday and this weekend, warm air will make a return for next week.  Both the GFS and ECMWF computer models indicate more storms will be in our future.  The GFS model tries to bring in the next cold front on Monday while the ECMWF does so by Tuesday.  Both models indicate an active second half of next week!

Do we have any cold spells for the second half of April?  We just might see one!  Check out the AO Forecast.



As you can see, it takes a dip and we get cooler (Friday and this weekend).  Then it rises for next week and takes another dip just after mid month.  I am watching that period, after mid month, to see if we get another cool down similar to the one coming later this week.  This is a classic spring time battle between the warm and cold so severe weather events will become more common for the rest of April and into May as well.

Check out the GFS Ensemble Mean for the 11-15 day period.  It also agrees with a cooler pattern developing after mid month.



Basically, what we can expect going forward is bouts of warmth and cold with an active weather pattern in between.  Severe weather will also become more of a threat as well.  Enjoy the nice weather if you're reading this from Cincinnati and enjoy the storm potential later on today if you live off to the North.