CLEVELAND FORECAST DISCUSSION
947PM 3/4/13 UPDATE00Z NAM AND 21Z SREF HAS SHIFTED SOUTH AND THAT WILL RESULT IN LESS SNOW THAN EXPECTED SO UPDATED THE FORECAST TO SHOW THIS . LESS THAN 2 INCHES EXPECTED FOR CLEVELAND. STAY TUNED FOR MORE UPDATES......
INTERSTING WEATHER PATTER SETTING UP FOR THE AREA THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. THE MODELS AT 18Z WENT SOUTH WITCH TOOK THE SNOW RIGHT WITH IT. STILL
LOOKING AT A GERNNERAL 1-3 INCHES FOR NORTHEN OHIO AND NORTHEASTERN OHIO. THE
EURO HAS BEEN VERY CONSISTANT WITH THIS TRACK AND WILL FOLOW THAT ONE AND A BIT
OF THE GFS. THERE IS SOME DRY AIR TO WORK WITH SO SOME SLEET MAY MIX IN AT THE
START OF IT. THE SOUHTERN PORTION OF THE CLE NWS AREA MIGHT SEE SOME RAIN AND
SNOW MIX BEFORE CHANGING TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. 850 HEIGHT TEMPS DO WARM TO
ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE SOUTNER COUNTIES AND DO EXPECT TO SEE SOME SLEET TO MIX
IN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. A
RIDGE ALOFT WILL BE BUILDING AND ALLWOING FOR WARMING TEMPS. HIGHS WONT BE TO
WARM BUT MUCH ARMER THAN THEY HAVE BEEN. WE COULD BE FILTERING WITH THE LOWER
50S ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY DEPENDING ON HOW SUN WE CAN GET AND HOW STRONG THE
SOUTH WINDS ARE. THE GFS AND THE ECMWF DIFFER ON THE NEXT SYSTEM. GFS SHOWES
RAIN BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND THE EURO IS NOT SHOWING ANYTHING TILL TUESDAY.
HAVE KEPT A 30% IN THER FOR NOW AND WILL FINE AND TWEAK THAT AS THE WEEK GOES
ON.
FORECASTER- BRYAN POLIVKA
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